What's in a name - was John Curtin 'Vigilant'? Analysing style to determine authorshipBy Lesley Wallace, Manager of the JCPML and Library Archives, and Alexis Antonia and Hugh Craig, Centre for Literary and Linguistic Computing, University of Newcastle ABSTRACT
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Certainty about the authorship of the 'Vigilant' articles would add an important element in understanding Curtin's outlook and motivation in his political career and war time prime ministership. While his editorials, later writings on economic matters and parliamentary speeches have been extensively studied, no published biographies of Curtin [4] have considered the pen name attributions. The 'Vigilant' columns deal with subject matter not considered in the known Curtin writings. While Fitzgerald researched the pen named material for his proposed biography of Curtin, the work remained incomplete and unpublished at the time of his death in 1993. His meticulous investigations are detailed in his Curtin research papers now held at the John Curtin Prime Ministerial Library in Perth, Western Australia. |
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We then looked among our 200 'function' words, for words which could be considered as 'Curtin marker' words - that is, words which Curtin used relatively more or relatively less often than his fellow authors. The t-test was used for this purpose. The t-test estimates whether the difference in mean between two groups of observations reflects a genuine, consistent difference, or merely a chance effect arising from fluctuating counts. Our testing yielded forty-four such words, nineteen used relatively more often by Curtin: |
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Having shown that our tests are able to distinguish groups of Curtin's articles from those of other known journalists, the next step involved introducing groups of articles carrying the 'Vigilant' by-line. The hope - that the 'Vigilant' group would join the Curtin group and eschew the Other group - was not realised. The 'Vigilant' articles, presumably because of the shared characteristics that come from their closeness in purpose, audience and subject-matter, formed their own distinctive group, showing no close affinity either with Curtin or with the non-Curtin group. (see Figure 3 below) |
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All our testing to this point worked on the assumption that there was only one author using the 'Vigilant' by-line. If more than one hand was responsible for the articles, then it would be necessary to use single rather than combined articles in our tests. We therefore carried out a series of tests using individual articles with more than a thousand words; eighteen 'Vigilant' articles qualified. (see Table 1 below) In one series of Principal Component Analysis tests, [15] we used fifteen Curtin and fifteen 'Others' articles as an unchanging background into which the eighteen substantive 'Vigilant' articles were added one by one. As variables we used the forty-four Curtin and non-Curtin marker words identified earlier and plotted the results for the First and Second Principal Components. The results of these tests appeared to confirm the notion that more than one author was responsible for the 'Vigilant' articles, since six of the eighteen articles were located on Curtin's side of the plot, (Figure 4) while another six were located on the Others' side (Figure 5) with the remaining six located in the middle of the plot between the two groups. (Figure 6) |
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Based on these tests, we can make a good case for Curtin's authorship of some of the 'Vigilant' articles; the tests suggest that not all the articles are by Curtin, however. In this case the external evidence collected by Fitzgerald is more clear-cut than the internal, stylistic indications, as far as we have been able to assess them. If Curtin did write all the articles, then he certainly varied his style quite remarkably, in some cases carrying over few habitual preferences from his political writing to these essays in literary history and evaluation. We hope this foray into the stylistics of Curtin's journalism will prompt others to take up the problem of the 'Vigilant' articles, perhaps exploring further the biographical evidence as well. |
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ENDNOTES
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PRIMARY SOURCESARCHIVAL COLLECTIONS
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REFERENCESDay, David. 1999. John Curtin: A Life. Sydney: HarperCollins. |
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